Trending...
- New ProEssentials v11: Native WinUI Charting Library, 100M Points in 15ms, Following Microsoft's Vision for True Native Swap-Chain Rendering
- Arkansas Duo Cliff & Susan Return for Seventh Santa Barbara Summer to Headline The Red Piano's 10th Anniversary
- 'Reflections: Enlightening Insights Into the Divine Mystery' — The Latest Book by Philosopher Steven Colborne
A new BTS research report shows that a long-only, event-driven sector allocation model grew a $10,000 starting account to $367,986 from 2005 through 2025, versus $82,376 for buy-and-hold SPY.
SAN FRANCISCO - Californer -- Backtested Strategies has released BTS Zones — Industry Sectors Backtest, a strategy research report that evaluates 14 published BTS Strength Zone windows across nine sector ETFs: VOX, XLY, XLP, XLE, XLI, XLB, XLV, XLK, and XLU. A portfolio-level VIX 50/35 regime controls whether active zones may be admitted. When no zone is entered, the model holds SPY while the regime is ON and SHY while it is OFF.
Across the 2005–2025 whole-calendar-year report window, BTS Zones produced 18.7% CAGR versus 10.6% for SPY. From the same $10,000 starting value, the strategy finished at $367,986 versus $82,376 for buy-and-hold SPY.
The model was invested 98.8% of the time. It admitted active BTS Strength Zones only at eligible Opens while the VIX regime was ON, held admitted zones through their scheduled exits, and otherwise used SPY or SHY as fallback holdings.
More on The Californer
In the filtered SPY up-year diagnostic, BTS Zones produced 23.0% CAGR versus 16.9% for SPY. In the filtered SPY down-year diagnostic, it produced -3.8% versus -21.0%. These figures compound only the included whole calendar years and are not continuous-window backtest results.
Across overlapping holding periods, the strategy beat SPY on CAGR in 82.5% of three-year windows and 91.7% of five-year windows. It also had a higher Sharpe ratio in 77.9% and 87.6% of those windows, respectively.
Test results adhere to the rigorous BTS Methodology, a standardized framework designed to make backtests more consistent, transparent, and comparable across data alignment, execution-price modeling, trading costs and spread-aware slippage, portfolio accounting, cash and dividend treatment, benchmark total-return treatment, terminal closeout, reporting windows, and performance metric calculations.
The full report includes preview and full-period metrics, equity-curve and drawdown-profile charts, caution flags, failure-mode analysis, calendar-year returns, SPY up-year and down-year analysis, rolling-window results, pseudocode, and implementation guardrails.
More on The Californer
Read the report
https://www.backtestedstrategies.com/strategies/bts-zones-industry-sectors-backtest/
Create a Free Account to get started with BTS Zones
https://www.backtestedstrategies.com/free
Backtested Strategies (BTS), operated by Marquantex LLC, is a financial research publisher built around the BTS Methodology, a standardized framework for testing trading strategies with stated rules, consistent assumptions, benchmark discipline, cost and slippage treatment, portfolio accounting, and clear interpretation so readers can evaluate market ideas through evidence rather than hype or unsupported claims.
Across the 2005–2025 whole-calendar-year report window, BTS Zones produced 18.7% CAGR versus 10.6% for SPY. From the same $10,000 starting value, the strategy finished at $367,986 versus $82,376 for buy-and-hold SPY.
The model was invested 98.8% of the time. It admitted active BTS Strength Zones only at eligible Opens while the VIX regime was ON, held admitted zones through their scheduled exits, and otherwise used SPY or SHY as fallback holdings.
More on The Californer
- UK Financial Ltd Verifies Maya Preferred PRA Circulating Supply, Proving Its Eight-Year Promise of Under 1M Tokens After Chainlink Labs Agreement
- Making Waves for World Drowning Prevention Day in San Dimas
- Oakdale Community Pool Day Hosted by Swim Up Hill Foundation
- Brittany Poliska Launches Wellness Passport at Temecula Valley Event
- Anamorphic 3D Only Works on Fixed Screens. Loud! OOH Put It on a Moving Ad Van for Flood Re
In the filtered SPY up-year diagnostic, BTS Zones produced 23.0% CAGR versus 16.9% for SPY. In the filtered SPY down-year diagnostic, it produced -3.8% versus -21.0%. These figures compound only the included whole calendar years and are not continuous-window backtest results.
Across overlapping holding periods, the strategy beat SPY on CAGR in 82.5% of three-year windows and 91.7% of five-year windows. It also had a higher Sharpe ratio in 77.9% and 87.6% of those windows, respectively.
Test results adhere to the rigorous BTS Methodology, a standardized framework designed to make backtests more consistent, transparent, and comparable across data alignment, execution-price modeling, trading costs and spread-aware slippage, portfolio accounting, cash and dividend treatment, benchmark total-return treatment, terminal closeout, reporting windows, and performance metric calculations.
The full report includes preview and full-period metrics, equity-curve and drawdown-profile charts, caution flags, failure-mode analysis, calendar-year returns, SPY up-year and down-year analysis, rolling-window results, pseudocode, and implementation guardrails.
More on The Californer
- From DJ Booths to Disney: Orlando Author Ryan Tiffin Launches "Chasing Magic"
- FDA Food Recall Notices After Outbreak Linked to 98 Hospitalizations: Practical Tips for Safer Grocery Shopping
- The 'Tax Squeeze': Betsson's Record Quarter Previews the Economics of Finland's 2027 Casino Market
- Nationwide Boiler Announces Leadership Succession, Appoints Jim Lieskovan as President
- California launches next phase of state cybersecurity plan as AI changes threat landscape
Read the report
https://www.backtestedstrategies.com/strategies/bts-zones-industry-sectors-backtest/
Create a Free Account to get started with BTS Zones
https://www.backtestedstrategies.com/free
Backtested Strategies (BTS), operated by Marquantex LLC, is a financial research publisher built around the BTS Methodology, a standardized framework for testing trading strategies with stated rules, consistent assumptions, benchmark discipline, cost and slippage treatment, portfolio accounting, and clear interpretation so readers can evaluate market ideas through evidence rather than hype or unsupported claims.
Source: Backtested Strategies
0 Comments
Latest on The Californer
- Sumi X's "American Dream" Nominated for a Hollywood Independent Music Award
- Tek84 Launches TekDetect™ AI-Assisted Threat Detection for Body Scanners
- California: Governor Newsom deploys elite wildfire team to Washington State as western fires surge
- 3 Timeless Bracelets to Elevate Your Summer Style
- Impact & Influence June 2025: Joel Rodriguez Tirado on Commitment, Relationships & Success
- Registration for Long Beach's Fall Recreation Classes Begins August 3
- Lemon Law Attorneys in Calabasas CA
- Lemon Law Attorney in Calabasas CA
- Impact & Influence May 2025: Joel Rodriguez Tirado on Helping Families & Seizing the Moment
- California: New court documents expose Trump administration's political targeting of Governor Newsom
- Moorpark College Theatre Arts Announces Auditions For Thornton Wilder's Classic "Our Town"
- Ventura College Foundation Raises $7.1 Million During "Invest in Success" Fundraising Campaign
- City of Long Beach Launches Older Adult Shallow Subsidy Program to Prevent Homelessness Among Older Adults
- California accelerates and modernizes state hiring process, saving thousands of hours of staff time
- Independent Audio Producers Bring Bram Stoker's Dracula to Life With Full-Cast and Original Score
- K2 Integrity Names Michael Kallabat Global Head of Investigations and Disputes
- Socialhose Eyes Southeast Asia and Rejects the Copy-Paste Expansion Playbook
- $40 Billion Global Market Value by 2030 Projected in Unmanned Aerial Vehicle or Other Drone Technology Sector, Growing at 9.2% Compound Annual Growth
- Impact & Influence April 2025: Joel Rodriguez Tirado on Mentorship, Growth & Financial Security
- Federal AI-Privilege Ruling Puts Confidential Work on Notice; eRacks Points to the On-Premise Answer