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A new BTS research report shows a long-only, SPY-relative allocation model growing a $10,000 starting account to $182,069 in a 2004–2025 backtest, versus $91,344 for buy-and-hold SPY.
SAN FRANCISCO - Californer -- Backtested Strategies has released BTS Zones — Major Indexes Backtest Results, a strategy research report that converts BTS Heatmap zone windows into a defined allocation framework using five major-index ETFs: QQQ, MDY, IJR, IYT, and XLU. The model uses SPY as the neutral default and SHY as the defensive holding.
The strategy allocates offensively only when a confirmed Relative Strength Zone has priority. When no confirmed Relative Strength Zone ETF has priority, the model defaults to SPY. SHY is used only after confirmed Relative Weakness Zone downside warnings.
The report evaluates whether this BTS Heatmap-based rotation model improved on a buy-and-hold SPY benchmark while remaining long-only and fully allocated across confirmed Relative Strength Zone ETFs, SPY, or SHY.
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What the strategy showed
Across the 2004–2025 whole-calendar-year report window, BTS Zones produced a 14.1% CAGR versus 10.6% for SPY. A $10,000 starting account finished at $182,069 for BTS Zones versus $91,344 for buy-and-hold SPY.
The result came from allocation choices rather than market avoidance. The model stayed invested across the test, shifted toward confirmed leadership windows, used SPY as the neutral default, and moved to SHY only after downside confirmation when no confirmed Relative Strength Zone ETF had priority.
Results are shown under BTS Methodology, which standardizes data alignment, execution assumptions, trading costs, slippage, portfolio accounting, dividend treatment, benchmark treatment, reporting-window conventions, and performance metric calculations.
The full report includes preview and full-period metrics, equity-curve and drawdown-profile charts, caution flags, failure-mode analysis, calendar-year returns, SPY up-year and down-year analysis, rolling-window results, pseudocode, and implementation guardrails.
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Backtests are historical simulations, not forecasts. The report is research material and does not provide personalized investment advice.
Read the report:
https://www.backtestedstrategies.com/strategies/bts-zones-major-indexes-backtest/
Create a Free Account to start using BTS Heatmaps:
https://www.backtestedstrategies.com/pricing/#free-account
About Backtested Strategies
Backtested Strategies (BTS), operated by Marquantex LLC, is a financial research publisher focused on evidence-based strategy research, standardized backtests, and investor research tools. BTS emphasizes clearly stated rules, consistent assumptions, benchmark context, and plain-English interpretation to help investors evaluate market ideas without relying on hype, hindsight, or unsupported claims.
The strategy allocates offensively only when a confirmed Relative Strength Zone has priority. When no confirmed Relative Strength Zone ETF has priority, the model defaults to SPY. SHY is used only after confirmed Relative Weakness Zone downside warnings.
The report evaluates whether this BTS Heatmap-based rotation model improved on a buy-and-hold SPY benchmark while remaining long-only and fully allocated across confirmed Relative Strength Zone ETFs, SPY, or SHY.
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What the strategy showed
Across the 2004–2025 whole-calendar-year report window, BTS Zones produced a 14.1% CAGR versus 10.6% for SPY. A $10,000 starting account finished at $182,069 for BTS Zones versus $91,344 for buy-and-hold SPY.
The result came from allocation choices rather than market avoidance. The model stayed invested across the test, shifted toward confirmed leadership windows, used SPY as the neutral default, and moved to SHY only after downside confirmation when no confirmed Relative Strength Zone ETF had priority.
Results are shown under BTS Methodology, which standardizes data alignment, execution assumptions, trading costs, slippage, portfolio accounting, dividend treatment, benchmark treatment, reporting-window conventions, and performance metric calculations.
The full report includes preview and full-period metrics, equity-curve and drawdown-profile charts, caution flags, failure-mode analysis, calendar-year returns, SPY up-year and down-year analysis, rolling-window results, pseudocode, and implementation guardrails.
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Backtests are historical simulations, not forecasts. The report is research material and does not provide personalized investment advice.
Read the report:
https://www.backtestedstrategies.com/strategies/bts-zones-major-indexes-backtest/
Create a Free Account to start using BTS Heatmaps:
https://www.backtestedstrategies.com/pricing/#free-account
About Backtested Strategies
Backtested Strategies (BTS), operated by Marquantex LLC, is a financial research publisher focused on evidence-based strategy research, standardized backtests, and investor research tools. BTS emphasizes clearly stated rules, consistent assumptions, benchmark context, and plain-English interpretation to help investors evaluate market ideas without relying on hype, hindsight, or unsupported claims.
Source: Backtested Strategies
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